DEVELOPING URBAN LOW-CARBON TRANSPORT SYSTEM IN DEVELOPED CITIES OF CHINA: THE EXAMPLE OF JINAN
Abstract
Economy depends heavily on transport. Since the overwhelming motor vehicles burn fossil fuels at present, transport system
keeps producing CO2, which will speed up the climate change if fossil fuels are consumed excessively. Thus, Jinan, the economic
center of China’s second developed province, aims to formulate a low-carbon transport system in future. This paper analyzes the
causal relationship in transport system and discusses its CO2 emission situation according to the time. In a short term, during the
12th Five-Year Plan, it is concluded by energy saving potential analysis that 4.92 million tonnes of CO2 emissions would be
reduced. In the long term, Jinan has the same goal to reduce CO2 emission as the state, so the scenario analysis is applied and
four future scenarios are generated according to transport socialization and sustainability. Since it follows the cause and effect
diagram, structure adjustment, positive policy, and technology will be helpful to achieve the preferred fourth scenario, based on
which, successful measures have been implemented in Jinan.